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Fallrapport: Navy-klippet GoFast — hastighet och vind

Analys av det kända US Navy-klippet »GoFast«.

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2.1 MB
Filnamn
AARO_GoFast_Case_Resolution_Card_Methodology_Final.pdf
Kategori
Fallrapport
Arkiverad
2025-02-10
Ord i källa
7 298 (ungefär)

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Sammanfattning (svenska)

AARO redogör för hur FLIR-klippet «GoFast» från 2015 analyserats och slår fast att objektet inte rör sig med övernaturlig fart när flygplanets kurs och vind kompenseras.

Sammanfattningen är skriven på svenska utifrån PDF-textens innehåll och arkiveringskontext. Egennamn och förkortningar kan följa originalspråket. Motivera alltid mot källtexten nedan och i den inbäddade PDF:en.

Strukturerad genomgång

Sammanfattning på svenska

Rapporten går systematiskt igenom varför ett klipp som ser «supersnabbt» ut kan vara vilseledande: optiken mäter närfältshastighet i bildplanet, inte nödvändigtvis objektets sanna hastighet över havet. Genom att koppla flygplanets heading, vindprofiler och avståndsbedömning visar AARO att objektet i huvudsak följer eller fluktuerar nära vinden snarare än att susa fram mot strömmen. Metodavsnittet beskriver också osäkerhetsintervall — simuleringar skiljer sig beroende på vindmodell — men ingen modell ger «otroliga» parametrar. Därmed placeras GoFast i kategorin sensoriskt krävande men fysiskt rimlig. För den svenska debatten är parallellen enkel: många IR-uppgifter från Östersjön kräver samma triangulering. Dokumentet är därför både en fallstudie och en handledning i hur man läser FLIR-text utan att dras med av narrativ byggda på första intryck.

Huvudpunkter

- Inspelning utanför Floridas östkust med F/A-18F:s FLIR-sensor på cirka 13 000 fots höjd. - Uppskattad fart efter vindkompensation ligger runt 2–41 m/s — alltså modest jämfört med rubrikerna. - Objektet bedöms som sfäriskt eller avplattat ellipsoidformat utan transmedium-beteende. - Analysen använder sensorvinklar, vinddata och simuleringar av relativ rörelse. - Publicerad februari 2025 som metodologiskt facit till ett välkänt klipp.

Källtext (engelska)

UNCLASSIFIED UNCLASSIFIED All-domain Anomaly Resolution Office U.S. Department of Defense Case: “Go Fast” Case Resolution | February 6, 2025 Case Overview In January 2015, a U.S. Navy F/A-18F pilot recorded an object using a Forward Looking Infrared (FLIR) sensor about 13,000 feet above the Atlantic Ocean off the coast of Florida. The video appeared to show the object moving at high speed. AARO cannot definitively identify the object, but it displayed no anomalous performance characteristics. The Department of Defense officially released the “Go Fast” video in 2020. It is available for public viewing at the Navy’s FOIA Reading Room. Key Findings AARO assesses with high confidence that the object did not move at anomalous speeds. AARO's analysis showed: •The object’s

Källtext (engelska)

Utdrag ur den maskinlästa löptexten (oftast engelska), oförändrat för jämförelse med sammanfattningen ovan.

UNCLASSIFIED 
UNCLASSIFIED 
All-domain Anomaly Resolution Office 
U.S. Department of Defense 
Case: “Go Fast” 
Case Resolution | February 6, 2025 
Case Overview 
In January 2015, a U.S. Navy F/A-18F pilot 
recorded an object using a Forward Looking 
Infrared (FLIR) sensor about 13,000 feet 
above the Atlantic Ocean off the coast of 
Florida. 
The video appeared to show the object moving 
at high speed. AARO cannot definitively 
identify the object, but it displayed no 
anomalous performance characteristics. 
The Department of Defense officially released 
the “Go Fast” video in 2020. It is available 
for public viewing at the Navy’s FOIA 
Reading Room. 
Key Findings 
AARO assesses with high confidence that the 
object did not move at anomalous speeds. 
AARO's analysis showed: 
•The object’s altitude was
approximately 13,000 feet.
•The object’s speed ranged from about
32 m/s (72 mph) to 72 m/s (161 mph)
depending on its heading relative to
the wind. Compensating for the
wind’s contribution to the object’s
speed, its approximate speed range is 2
m/s (5 mph) to 41.3 m/s (92 mph).
•The object’s heading deviated as much as 32° from wind direction, though most
simulations conducted during AARO’s analysis showed significantly less difference.
The object did not move against the wind in any simulation.
Case Essentials 
Location: Eastern coast of Florida 
Date: January 2015 
Object Altitude (reported): Near ocean’s 
surface 
Object Altitude (assessed): 13,000 feet 
Object Speed (reported): Appeared to 
move at high speeds 
Object Speed (assessed): 5 mph - 92 mph 
Object Shape (reported): Round 
Object Shape (assessed): Spherical or 
oblate ellipsoid 
Reporter: U.S. Navy 
Sensor: Forward Looking Infrared 
Reported Behavior: Moved at high speeds 
near the ocean’s surface 
Assessed Behavior: An object moving 
between 5 and 92 mph at approximately 
13,000 feet 
Summary of Findings: High confidence 
the object did not demonstrate anomalous 
performance characteristics 

UNCLASSIFIED 
 
2 
UNCLASSIFIED 
 
Determining the object’s true speed and direction of travel (heading) requires knowing the F/A-
18F’s heading. AARO calculated the object’s speed and heading relative to the aircraft because 
the video display does not contain the aircraft’s heading. AARO calculated the object’s position 
and direction of travel for the entire range of possible wind directions (0° - 360°) to account for 
differences in atmospheric conditions between the F/A-18F’s altitude and object’s altitude. This 
comprehensive modeling informed AARO’s assessment of whether the object moved with or 
against the wind and whether it behaved anomalously for all possible directions of travel. 
AARO factored in historical wind speeds and directions at both the object’s altitude (13,000 feet) 
and the aircraft’s altitude (25,000 feet), as measured near the time and location of the event: 
• At 13,000 feet, wind speed was 30.9 m/s (69 mph) from the west (265°). 
• At 25,000 feet, wind speed was 52 m/s (116 mph) from the west southwest (255°). 
Figure 1 shows the object’s range of possible speeds calculated while compensating for wind 
speed at 13,000 feet. This is considered the “intrinsic” speed. An intrinsic speed of 0 m/s 
indicates that the object is moving with the wind, or about 30.9 m/s. 
 
 
Figure 1: The y-axis represents the object’s speed with wind effects removed. The x-axis represents the 
wind’s heading relative to the F/A-18F’s airframe geometry (0° is a headwind). The curv

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